The boom and the bust were normal—just two more swings in stock returns over the past century. Reversion to the mean is the iron rule of the financial markets. - John Bogle
Accurately forecasting swings in investors’ emotions is not possible. But forecasting the long-term economics of investing carries remarkably huge odds of success.
The courage to press on, regardless of whether we face the calm seas or rough seas, and especially when the market storms howl around us, is the quintessential attribute of the successful investor.
A percentage point added to your long-term return is priceless. A percentage point added to your standard deviation is meaningless. To equate the meaningless to the priceless one for one strikes me as being absurd.